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Michael Watson, Editor
Not yet, though.
Bookselling may feel more like a ride on a Tilt-A-Whirl than the cultured, slow-paced trade we used to dream of. We didn't dream that thousands of new sellers would make good stock more difficult to find and that those thousands would flood the market with common books of ever-sinking prices. Our dream didn't include so many booksellers wondering how bills would get paid and so many bookselling businesses turning out the lights for the last time.
My point? The Independent Online Booksellers Association offers you some stability in this trade. Every quarter the Standard presents useful information and solutions that you might translate into profit or otherwise employ to make your business a bit less tenuous. The IOBA itself brings like-minded online (and open shop) sellers together to solve common problems and promote the best parts of our chosen trade.
If you find this issue of the Standard useful, tell other booksellers: they might benefit. If you feel something is missing from this issue, suggest it for the next issue: an e-mail to editor@ioba.org will get things started. If you want to promote the stability of our trade through higher bookselling standards, then visit us at www.ioba.org or join us today at www.ioba.org/app.html
There may not be safety in numbers, but be one of our number and enjoy a bit of stability in difficult times.
Best regards. -Michael Watson, Editor, editor@ioba.org
Barry R. Levin, A.B.A.A.
This (or a variant of it) is probably the most often asked question I hear. What I'm talking about is, of course, whether it is better to buy a book (or get it autographed by the author) with just a signature alone or whether it is better to have it with a personalized inscription.
With modern books by living authors, the popular wisdom states that it is better to have a "flat" (I hate that term) signed book - that is to say, a "stand-alone" signature, not a book with an inscription to an "unknown" person. For example, if I wrote a book, would you like me to sign it for you: "For (your first name here) - Hope you like it, Barry R. Levin," or just, "Barry R. Levin." Many dealers will tell you that it is easier to resell your modern signed books if they are just simply signed. "No one named 'Bill,'" they will say, "wants a book signed 'For Bob.'"
Is this bit of popular wisdom true, are simply-signed books better? Well, yes and no.
The very best autograph dealers and authorities will tell you quite candidly that, in many cases, "a stand-alone" (or "flat" - if you must) signature in a modern book can be all but impossible to authenticate. Yes, he or she can rule out most fakes, but still can only tell you most of the time that a modern stand-alone signature "looks good," not that it is 100% authentic if the piece has no provenance. A signature is almost (and, in some languages, in reality) a pictograph or symbol that represents a person's name, a stylized form of script often unlike the person's normal handwriting. It is possible, with practice, to copy that symbol. Yes, it helps if you know something about the mechanics of handwriting - also of pens, inks, papers, etc., but a fair number of people can do a passable job of copying a given person's signature. It is extremely difficult, however, to copy a person's script, or handwriting in general. (I am not going to give you a primer here on the whys and wherefores of this for obvious reasons). Take my word for it, that is one of the reasons why the names of the handful of great forgers that have been caught are so well remembered - it is a true (if despicable) art form.
For instance, I talked to an important collector of Stephen King the other day. He told me a very interesting story. He bought a copy of a proof for a new Stephen King novel, over the Internet. The copy was described as being "flat signed" by the author. When the proof came, it was not signed. He e-mailed the seller and the seller told him to send it back and he would send him a signed copy. Suspicious, the collector took a soft lead pencil and put a very small mark on a given page and sent the proof back. A week went by, and a signed copy of the proof was delivered to him. He looked at the signature (one that he is very familiar with) and it "looked good." He opened the proof to the page on which he had placed his mark on the copy that he had sent back, and lo and behold there was his mark. Now the collector knew that King was on vacation that week, and knew it was not possible for the seller to have gotten this particular copy signed in the time allotted - so even if the signature "looked good" it had to be a forgery.
Another collector sent me a scan of a very popular British author's stand-alone autograph. Once again, the "signed" book had been purchased on the internet. She wanted to know if the signature was authentic. Now, it is almost impossible to truly authenticate an autograph from a scan and with no provenance, and it is not a free service I normally have time to render. Saying that, I did have time that day to look at the scan, so I did. This author's signature is one that is a little hard to get in this country, mostly because of the overwhelming demand at the moment. It is also, unfortunately, a particularly easy autograph to forge. I sent the collector an emailed note to that effect, along with an example I had of a signature known to be authentic. My advice was, and is, to only buy autograph material from an expert, one with proper credentials, especially stand-alone examples of signatures.
In the last few years, I have seen a rise in the number of forged autographs of science fiction, fantasy, and horror authors - including Howard Phillips Lovecraft, Stephen King, Edgar Rice Burroughs, and even those of Ray Bradbury, whose signature is the most common authentic autograph in the field.
My point in telling you all of this is simply to point out that the more words on your autographed items, the better! The number of people who can fool an autograph expert drops in direct proportion to the number of words on the page. If you are buying a stand-alone signed book the provenance for the piece can be as important as the honesty and knowledge of the seller.
It is also important to note that it is always a good idea, when having a book signed for you by an author, to have the author date the signature, especially if the book is being signed in the year, or, better yet, the month and year of publication. Books so signed are very desirable to collectors. Also, because the handwriting of authors often change over time, sometimes dramatically, the dating of the signature becomes doubly important. Ray Bradbury and Clark Ashton Smith are two notable examples of striking signature changes that come to mind.
None of us will live forever; no one is immortal. Collectors are one of the greatest conservators of our cultural heritage. The signed books we buy, or have autographed for us today, will one day bear the signature of a deceased author. How will people in the future know for sure that a particular signature is authentic? Some collectors put a note in their signed books (hopefully on acid-free paper) saying that they got the book signed at such and such a time and place. This is harmless and can be used as provenance to a point, but in the future it will be only as good as the reputation of the individual collector who wrote it. If he is not of note, it may prove to be almost as good in the future as a letter of authentication from a dishonest dealer or forger. No, the best measure of an item's authenticity is that which is integral and internal. Few if any collectors today care if Jules Verne or H. G. Wells inscribed a book to an unknown person. Just the opposite, a long inscription is preferred. Why is that true? Because, of course, these authors are now no longer signing anything and it is easier to authenticate an inscribed and signed copy, so the more words from the master's hand, the better. Who knows, maybe in a hundred years, Ray Bradbury's signature may be worth something and a book with a long inscription and maybe one of his drawings-priceless?
At this point, it would be wise to point out that even those collectors who do not like personalized inscriptions in their modern books will eagerly buy the following types of inscribed books:
So now you know why I have answered the question of "Is a 'Stand-Alone' Signature Better?" with the answer, "yes and no." For the purpose of resale in the lifetime of the author: "yes", if there is no question of authenticity, And, "no", because an inscription makes it far easier to authenticate the handwriting of the author, and ipso facto, the signature. Thus, the dictum applies, "the more words from the master's hand, the better."
So, how would you like me to sign my next imaginary book for you?
The author is principal of Barry R. Levin Science Fiction & Fantasy Literature, A. B. A. A.; Santa Monica CA, U.S.A. and specializes in rare and first editions of science fiction, fantasy, and horror with a strong emphasis on autographs, manuscripts, literary correspondence, and original art. More information is available at http://www.raresf.com
Stuart Manley
Selling books on the web seems easy.
You get hold of some books (that really is the easy part!) and start listing them like crazy onto a database.
Sure, there are a few technical details to overcome - joining up with various listing sites and mastering the assorted uploading techniques, but nothing that would stall the average 12 year old for more than a few minutes.
Nevertheless, setting up your own virtual bookshop is neither unduly difficult nor particularly expensive in normal commercial terms (although the actual expenses mount up far more than the average tyro realizes).
That is why so many are doing it!
And therein lies the rub - there seems to be an endlessly expanding crowd of newcomers joining the existing hordes, all believing that this the way to say goodbye to the day job and become their own boss.
For most, it is a bad career move.
The harsh fact is that the expansion of 'bookdealers' is far outstripping the expansion of the demand for the books, leading to a dilution of orders for everyone.
Some respond by endlessly reducing prices - another bad career move - but I have already covered that in my 'Penny Selling' series, so I won't revisit it here. Suffice to say that if you do not understand the role of gross and net profit margins within business and keep on eroding those margins to create sales, you would be doing yourself a favor to pack in now.
If you reject the above as the 'way to go', then this is where fly-fishing comes into it. I hope to guide you towards techniques that will help you sell good books at proper prices and, importantly, at a profit that is good enough to pay all your business expenses and still leave you a reasonable living.
Check your tackle
Before moving on to the flies and techniques, you need to check your tackle: Your web site, policies, and facilities.
You can get by with a 'standard' home page provided by one of the listing sites, but you are putting yourself at a disadvantage.
In an ideal world you would have a unique website properly built by a competent designer, with all the bells and whistles, and plenty of special features that reflects your particular trading position. It's not a bookselling site, but my current favourite site that combines humor with professionalism is http://www.burtschips.com/ . (Make sure you have the sound switched on!)
But that can be expensive, so the next best option would be to use a specialist book site builder - the most recommended that I have heard of is Chrislands http://www.chrislands.com who construct competent sites for the smaller bookdealer, but if you can afford a totally tailor-made site, so much the better.
The Chrisland built sites are a little bit 'samey' but there is still plenty of scope to introduce some of your own individuality and they do include the key features of your own domain name, booksearch, order processing, and encryption.
Work out your store policies carefully - payment, returns policy, shipping, etc., and make sure that they comply with the policies of the major listing and are presented clearly and professionally. A quick trip to the Ethics Code of IOBA or a quality site such as http://abaa.org will soon put you right.
now check the fly
The 'fly' is your actual listing for each book.
It seems obvious to say so, but the first requirement is that it must be accurate.
We are all guilty of 'typos' from time to time, but make a typo in either the title or the author and you have already gone down a peg or two in the eyes of a potential purchaser. I find it amazing that there are currently 256 'bookdealers' on ABE offering various titles by 'J.R.R. Tolkein' (and 15 offering 'The Hobbitt'!) - they do not deserve to ever sell a book. Quite apart from the poor impression it gives the potential buyer ("If this seller is sloppy with the book, what else is he/she sloppy about?), in these days of the diminishing wild card asterisk, the only people who are ever going to find their books are the equally typographically challenged.
Make sure that the condition report is clear and concise. It is sad that sites such as Amazon are eroding a long-established consistency with meaningless terms such as 'acceptable' ('acceptable' to whom? - what's wrong with the perfectly clear description of 'worn'?), but that is no reason for you to join in! Follow the guidelines on http://www.ioba.org/terms.html or any of the other good listing sites and you won't go far wrong. Condition reports should be a short as possible, but still give a clear and honest impression of the true condition of the book.
Then there is the description of the book itself. This is truly the 'fly' - the part of the listing where you can show your skill. You can demonstrate careful collation and research (if the book is of enough value to merit it). Writing out the entire plot of 'The Hobbit', or even the dustwrapper blurb, earns you no brownie points whatsoever. A good description should be succinct and relevant. Lengthy descriptions may gain a dubious web visibility, but they tend to put off the average book buyer. Indeed, it is not a bad idea to purposely leave a little unstated, so that the prospective buyer can have a question to ask to 'break the ice'.
The one absolute 'no-no' in the description is plagiarism. Under no circumstances copy/paste another bookdealers' description into yours. By all means read them and learn from them, but then go away and write your own synopsis. To do anything other than that is (a) lazy, (b) unprofessional, and (c), most importantly, a violation of the Code of Conduct on most reputable sites.
One dealer has recently been taken 'off the air' for systematic theft of other peoples descriptions and will remain so until he has cleaned up his catalog - a massive task given that there were over a thousand examples of plagiarism within his database. Don't let that happen to you.
and now you are ready to start fly-fishing!
With all the tackle checked and the flies in place, let the fishing begin - the e-mail inquiries.
Some will be straightforward orders. Great - your 'fly' has done its work and you have hooked a beauty. All that remains is for you to process the order speedily and efficiently, pack it well, and let the customer know it is on its way with a well worked out 'template' e-mail.
But many will be inquiries rather than orders - and of varying quality. Your job is to convert as many of these as possible into sales and this is where the skill of the fly-fisher comes in.
The first job is to assess the quality of the inquiry - if you have hooked an old boot, there is no point in treating it like a 5 lb. trout.
However, you may not immediately know that you have hooked an old boot, so it is important to assume, until you find out otherwise, that there is a fish on the end of the line.
So, unless it is obvious that the inquirer is a waste of time, they should be given the benefit of the doubt and treated with a 'straight bat' reply - your very best polite and friendly 'standard reply template' tailored to the specific questions asked, but not spending too much time on scans and research until you have found out whether it be boot or fish. You will not have long to wait before the true nature of the inquirer is revealed!
Bear in mind that many inquirers are more interested in finding out what kind of bookdealer you are, rather than the actual question(s) asked. 'Can I trust this bookseller with my CC details?'; 'Can I be confident that they know what they are doing?'; 'Will the descriptions be honest and accurate?' are often the unstated questions and are more important than whether or not there is foxing on plate 36. Make sure that your reply gives them confidence in your professionalism and probity.
Think before you reply. Put yourself in the shoes of the prospective purchaser and try and work out what sort of extra information might tip the balance in your favor (a scan of an attractive cover or a particularly interesting plate, for instance). If the 'tweak on the line' tells you that yes, it's a fish not a boot, but it is a really tricky one, draft your reply, but then do something else for half an hour. Then come back to the draft and see what you can do to improve it. (And that includes removing typos!).
But remember that this is fly-fishing, not 'throwing a stick of dynamite into the lake' - the hard sell rarely works. There are many techniques and nuances needed to 'land' each sale - every inquiry will be a little bit different and need subtle changes - but therein lies the challenge and the fun.
Handling discount inquiries is a skill all by itself. You will land more sales by refusing a discount than by just giving in whenever someone asks for it. But how well you explain this is all part of fly-fishing - see 'What's your Best Price?' for my previous thoughts on this.
If you have spent some time polishing what you believe is a particularly good reply, save it as a draft - you will soon build up a good library of quality replies that can be tailored for similar inquiries in the future.
As in fishing, you even build up stories about 'the one that got away' - learn from them and keep on improving your techniques.
Nothing beats the thrill of landing a particularly difficult 'catch', so tremendous enjoyment is to be had from applying your hard-learned skills - and it's rather good for business too.
Tight Lines!
Stuart Manley is co-owner of Barter Books, Alnwick, Northumberland, England, also online at www.barterbooks.co.uk
Copyright © 2004 Stuart Manley
Martha Kelly
The American Women's Suffrage movement is surely one of the best documented of all social revolutions thanks to the remarkable six-volume, 6,000 page, History of Woman Suffrage. Leaders of revolutions often write their memoirs (if they live long enough) but rarely do they preserve and record the detailed records of people and events as did suffrage leaders Elizabeth Cady Stanton and Susan B. Anthony.
Stanton and Anthony, leaders of the more radical of the two contingents of the suffrage movement, were determined that the history of the woman's movement not be forgotten as most women's history up to that time had been forgotten. Their intention was to write a history of the movement much of it based on Anthony's diaries, scrapbooks, and innumerable records. When work on the History of Woman Suffrage actually began in the late 1870's it represented the realization of a long-time ambition on the part of both women.
In 1876 Anthony started the process when she sent boxes and trunks of material, saved for more than twenty-five years, to Stanton's home in Tenafly, NJ. The plan was to write a single volume covering the suffrage movement from its beginnings up to 1876. Stanton wrote several chapters between 1876 and 1880, but it was 1880 before they were able to get together in Tenafly and seriously undertake the project. The plan to cover the period in a single volume turned out to be optimistic; the 878 page Volume I went only as far as 1860.
Both the history of the writing of the books and the publishing history are somewhat complicated; this article is an attempt to briefly summarize both and to correct a few common misunderstandings about the books.
The History includes impassioned feminist commentary' (as described by the Encyclopedia Britannica) as well as the documentary history of the suffrage movement: primary documents, biographies of suffrage leaders, letters, and records of state suffrage movements.
The copyright holders of the first three volumes are Stanton, Anthony, and Matilda Joslin Gage, a Fayetteville New York suffragist, author, and editor of The National Citizen and Ballot Box. Stanton was the primary author with some contributions from Gage. Anthony who disliked writing (in fact, it was not her strong point) was the historian, source of information, and business manager.
After Volume III was complete, Stanton bowed out leaving a determined Anthony to complete Volume IV with the help of professional journalist Ida Husted Harper, author of the three-volume Life and Works of Susan B. Anthony. Harper was the sole author of the last two volumes, published after the deaths of Anthony and Stanton.
The six volumes comprise the primary source of information about the women's suffrage movement and the women who participated in it. While far from perfect, the History is Remarkably complete.
A little history of the suffrage movements helps clarify one of the criticisms of the books. In the years immediately following the Civil War, the abolitionist and suffrage movements were divided over the issue of whether or not to insist upon including women in the constitutional amendment giving African-American men the right to vote. The split ultimately resulted in the formation of two women's suffrage associations. Anthony and Stanton led the National Woman's Suffrage Association (NWSA), the more radical of the two. Although the History covers NWSA most completely, both Anthony and Stanton made efforts to include the history of the more conservative American Woman's Suffrage Association (AWSA), an effort thwarted by the refusal of AWSA's most prominent leader, Lucy Stone. Stone argued that they could not write the history of the movement - that should be left for future historians and that Anthony and Stanton, as leaders of the more radical ultras could not write a history of the whole movement. Nevertheless some history of the conservative, or 'Boston,' contingent of the movement was included. Stone sent some brief biographical facts and Stanton's daughter, Harriot Stanton Blatch, wrote a 60,000 word history of the AWSA after chiding her mother for leaving AWSA out of the History.
The last two volumes, written by Ida Husted Harper after the deaths of both Anthony and Stanton, are primarily a record of the conservative NAWSA, the organization formed by merging NWSA and AWSA in 1890 and their work for the passage of state amendments and, eventually, passage of a federal amendment to the Constitution in 1919. Harper, who was quite conservative, scarcely mentions the work of the radical suffragists led by Alice Paul and Lucy Burns.
Volume I was completed and published in 1881. Anthony, who was, as usual, in charge of the business end of the venture, had difficulty finding a publisher. She apparently approached publishers with the Preface, Introduction and early chapters. In 1876 after taking them to Appletons she wrote in her diary, It now seems probably - almost sure-that The Appleton's will publish our History - I took them over Preface - Introduction - and first 6 or 8 chapters - and they think it will make a very interesting book. (Ann Gordon, Editor. The Selected Papers of Elizabeth Cady Stanton & Susan B. Anthony. Volume III. Page 273) Anthony thought, at this time, that the book would be a single volume but as the History became longer and more expensive, Appletons pled hard times and refused to publish the book.
In 1878 a few early chapters were published in Gage's newspaper The National Citizen and Ballot Box.
The first editions of volumes I and II were published by Fowler and Wells, a slightly off-beat publishing house best known for their publications on phrenology. Volume I is dated 1881 and Volume II is dated 1882. True first editions of the History from Fowler and Wells are quite uncommon. Anthony later bought the plates and republished the first two volumes along with Volume III. Volumes I and II with Anthony as publisher are frequently mistaken for first editions.
Anthony did publish the first editions of volumes III and IV. Volume III appeared in 1886 and Volume IV in 1902.
In fact, Anthony wound up underwriting the first four volumes. Gage and Stanton who originally held the rights to the books along with Anthony sold their rights to Anthony when volume III was published. The first two volumes had proved to be extremely expensive and prospects of a profit were dim. Anthony spent $20,000 to reprint Volumes I and II plus Volume III. They were published in leather at $19.50 a set and in cloth at $15 a set. These prices, according to Anthony, made a large sale impossible. Fortunately a bequest of $25,000 enabled her to pay off the debt incurred.
The original bindings I've seen on the books published by Anthony are brown cloth with blind stamped rules and a decorative device on the front cover, or tan calf with two spine labels, one black and one red. The title and authors are on the spine only. The imprint is Susan B. Anthony/Rochester, N. Y.: Charles Mann/London: 25 Henrietta Street, Covent Garden./Paris: G. Fischbacher, 33 Rue De Seine/1887.
Anthony personally distributed 1,000 copies to libraries in Europe and the United States and gave sets to Congressmen and other prominent persons. Many of the latter volumes are inscribed by Anthony. In the four years following the publication of Volume IV, the Anthony household in Rochester, which included her sister Mary and, often, a housekeeper and/or a typist spent much of their time packing and mailing the first four volumes.
Volumes V and VI, written and published after Anthony's death in 1922 by Harper, cover the last phase of the suffrage movement, the period from 1901 through 1919, as well as the formation of The League of Women Voters, the period following passage of the 19th Amendment, and the international women's movement. Harper covers the conservative NAWSA's role with much emphasis on its leader Carrie Chapman Catt but scarcely mentions the efforts of younger and more militant women who campaigned with parades and public displays in Washington and were jailed, force fed, and otherwise humiliated and maltreated. The National American Woman Suffrage Association is listed as publisher of both volumes.
Anthony left the plates for Volumes I through IV as well as the remaining books to the NAWSA which continued to sell them.
Facsimile copies of The History are usually available from the Ayer Company. To assemble a full set of true first editions is daunting. I've still working on it. Since Anthony inscribed many of the copies she gave away, inscribed editions, though pricey, almost seem easier come by than are first editions of the Fowler and Wells editions. Because of the books' size, first and early editions are often in poor condition and many of those that do turn up are library copies. Even these are desirable, however, for their content.
Stanton and Anthony deserve an enormous amount of credit for their monumental undertaking. The books have omissions and occasional errors, and their length and exhaustive coverage of the movement make them exhausting reads, but, as reference works on one of the most important social movements of the last 150 years, they are invaluable.
References
Barry, Kathleen. Susan B. Anthony A Biography. NY: New York University Press, (1988)
Gordon, Ann B., Editor. The Selected Papers of Elizabeth Cady Stanton and Susan B. Anthony. Volume III. National Protection for National Citizens 1873 to 1880. New Brunswick, New Jersey: Rutgers University Press, (2003).
Griffith, Elizabeth. In Her Own Right The Life of Elizabeth Cady Stanton. NY: Oxford University Press, (1984).
Harper, Ida Husted. History of Woman Suffrage Volumes V, VI. Salem, New Hampshire: Ayer Publishing, 1985. Facsimile edition.
Harper, Ida Husted. The Life and Work of Susan B. Anthony Volume II. Salem, New Hampshire: Ayer Publishing, 1998. Facsimile edition.
Huth, Mary. Susan B. Anthony as Author and Publisher. An unpublished talk at the Susan B. Anthony House.
Stanton, Elizabeth Cady; Anthony, Susan B.; Gage, Matilda Joslin. History of Woman Suffrage. Volumes I, II, III. Salem, New Hampshire: Ayer Publishing, 1985. Facsimile edition.
Martha Kelly is principal of Gutenberg Books, an open shop in Rochester NY, and specializes in women's suffrage topics. More information is available at http://www.gutenbergbooks.com.
Susan Siegel, Book Hunter Press
Are rising used book sales hurting new book sales - and if so - by how much?
Lots of people would like the answer to that question, from publishers and authors to paper manufacturers and new and used booksellers.
It's fairly easy to answer the first part of the question: anecdotally, and intuitively, there's probably no question that rising used book sales are eating into new books sales. If you have any doubt, look up the Da Vinci Code online. A recent search brought up 140 used copies on Amazon, 729 copies on Abebooks and 377 on eBay.
It's when you try to answer the "by how much?" part of the question that the picture get muddier.
For starters, there are a host of very basic data collection issues unique to the used book market that affect any statistical analysis of total used book sales and the number of used books sold.
Then there's the overriding question that gets to the heart of the issue: Of all the used books sold in a given year, what percentage were in-print versus out-of-print titles? Clearly, the "new" book market is not concerned with sales of out-of-print titles.
It's this last question that is the most difficult to answer - if, indeed, it can be answered.
Theoretically, a computer program could be developed that could easily match up ISBNs (International Standard Book Number) in seller sales records with the Bowker database that shows whether a title is in-print or out-of-print. Obviously, any book without an ISBN is out-of-print, although a later edition with an ISBN could be in-print.
The one caveat to this methodology, though, would be the assumption that most publishers, large and small, have, over the years, been diligent in notifying Bowker when their titles go out-of-print. Alas, there's no quick and easy way to test this assumption for millions of titles.
Notwithstanding the above caveat, the ISBN match methodology does has one serious drawback: As only a portion of used book sales are computerized, any matching that could be done would, from the start, be incomplete. How incomplete? That's hard to know.
According to the recent Book Hunter Press study of the U.S. used book market (highlights of the report, A Portrait of the U.S. Used Book Market, are available online at www.bookhunterpress.com), in 2003, 54% of used book sales were made online. For these sales, ISBNs, if they existed, would most likely be available and the in versus out-of-print match could be made.
But what about the remaining 46% of used book sales that were made offline?
Many of these sales were most likely recorded on individual sales slips, only some of which were then entered into a computerized accounting or inventory program which may or may not have included an ISBN in a separate searchable data field.
This means that an in versus out-of-print match using dealer sales records may only be possible for just over half of all used book sales.
Where does that leave us? Are online and offline inventories similar enough so that the online ISBN match statistics for 54% of the sales match can reliably be extrapolated to the 46% of sales that were made offline?
As an aside, the Book Hunter Press study also found that only 49% of total dealer inventory was listed online and that only 18% of dealers had 100% of their inventories online compared with 46% who had less than one third online. These numbers raise the interesting question of what portion of the remaining 51% of dealer inventory is computerized, the first step in any possible ISBN match program.
What about using sales figures from Amazon or Abebooks? Assuming that the companies wanted to cooperate with such a study (some would consider this highly unlikely), would an ISBN comparison be easier or more fruitful if these larger databases were used? Yes and no.
While Abebooks could generate statistics on the number of books with and without ISBNs, when it comes to sales statistics Abebooks only knows about sales made through its own shopping cart. The company has no way of knowing how many sales of what books were made directly by the dealer.
Would Amazon sales data be more helpful? Again, the answer is yes and no.
Yes, because, unlike Abebooks, all used book sales originating from the site must go through Amazon's shopping cart. But, no, because not all books sold as used on Amazon are, in reality, used. Look at some of the Condition descriptions for books being sold in the Used and Collectible categories: brand new, direct from distributor or publisher, still shrink wrapped, etc. Are these used books? If they're remainders, then that gets back to one of the earlier question of whether remainders are or should be considered used books when tallying up used book sales. And, if the books are "brand new," then where are they coming from if not from the publisher?
eBay isn't much help either as its listings do not include ISBNs in a searchable field.
The bottom line: The next time you read a report or see a press release that says used book sales have caused a ##% decline in new book sales, stop for a minute and ask yourself where the numbers are coming from and what they represent.
As discussed in greater detail in our study report, the used book market does not lend itself to easy statistical analysis.
Book Hunter Press publishes the Used Book Lover's Guides, a series of seven regional guides to used book dealers throughout the United States and Canada. The company has been tracking the used book market since 1992. In 1999, the company published it's first comprehensive report on the U.S. used book market, The Quiet Revolution: The Expansion of the Used Book Market. In 2003, the company published A Portrait of the U.S. Used Book Market. The report, based on a survey of 827 used book dealers, looks at the used book market in terms of dealer size and inventory as well as changes in selling venues and sales between 2001-2003. The report also ranks the major online selling sites in terms of dealer usage and sales generation. More information is available at www.bookhunterpress.com